Ponytail: We should go to the north beach. Someone said the south beach has a 20% higher risk of shark attacks.
Cueball: Yeah, but statistically, taking three beach trips instead of two increases our odds of getting shot by a swimming dog carrying a handgun in its mouth by 50%!
Beret Guy: Oh no! This is our third trip!
Reminder: A 50% increase in a tiny risk is still tiny.
Ponytail: We should go to the north beach. Someone said the south beach has a 20% higher risk of shark attacks. Cueball: Yeah, but statistically, taking three beach trips instead of two increases our odds of getting shot by a swimming dog carrying a handgun in its mouth by 50%! Beret Guy: Oh no! This is our third trip!
Reminder: A 50% increase in a tiny risk is still tiny.
[0]: https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/increased_risk.png